The Innovator's Dillemma.
On my next book crafted from the artful and insightful minds of Clayton Christensen and Michael Raynor. Just picked it up tonight and can only put down for a moment to catalog a point made that encapsulates the book so far...
"1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6...
75, 28, 41, 26, 38, 64...
Which one of these would you say is random and to which one would be 'more predictable'? The first string looks predictable: The next two numbers should be 7 and 8. But what If we told you that the [first sequence] was actually the winning numbers from a lottery, set from a drum of tumbling balls, whereas the second sequence contains contains state and country roads one would follow on a scenic tour on the northern rim of Michigan's Upper Peninsula on the way from Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario to Saxon, Wisconsin? Given the [second sequence] route implied by the first six numbers you can infer the next two numbers are 2 and 122-from a map.
Lesson: You cannot say, just by looking at the result of the process, that created those results is capable of generating predictable output. You must understand the process itself."


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